Dasar Untuk Membaca Probabilitas Pergerakan Pasar

Membaca probabilitas arah pasar atau peluang terbesar arah candle adalah menggunakan analisis teknikal. Seorang trader harus memahami cara menggunakan analisis teknikal untuk mendapatkan profit yang besar. Analisis teknikal adalah sebuah analisa dalam forex trading untuk mengukur pergerakan harga melalui grafik harga. Analisis teknikal dapat menggunakan berbagai model dan dasar, misalnya untuk pergerakan harga digunakan metode seperti indeks kekuatan relatif, pergerakan harga rata-rata, regresi, korelasi antar pasar dan intra pasar, siklus ataupun dengan cara klasik yaitu menganalisis pola grafik. Analisis teknikal terdiri dari bagian-bagian yang saling mendukung. Perlu penggunaan secara menyeluruh agar probabilitas ketepatan analisa cukup besar. Analisis teknikal ini terdiri dari trend, SNR, dan range. Simak penjelasan di bawah ini:

Trend

Analisis tren adalah sebuah area yang paling penting dalam analisis teknikal dan merupakan kunci untuk dapat menentukan arah secara keseluruhan dari sebuah sekuritas. Tren berdasar pada prinsip dari titik tertinggi dan terendah yang semakin tinggi dan titik tertinggi dan terendah yang semakin rendah (pada trend turun). Umumnya, trend adalah rangkaian rekam jejak harga dalam bentuk grafik dengan kecondongan untuk mengarah ke atas (uptrend) atau ke bawah (downtrend).

SNR (Support and Resistance)

SNR adalah konsep yang sering digunakan dalam forex trading. Setiap kali harga bergerak naik kemudian akan kembali turun ke bawah, titik tertinggi yang dicapai sebelum harga bergerak turun dinamakan level resistance. Sedangkan titik terendah yang dicapai sebelum harga bergerak naik kembali dinamakan dengan level support. Dengan ini, baik support atau resistance akan terus terbentuk sepanjang waktu saat harga bergerak naik atau turun.

Range

Range trading dapat diidentifikasikan sebagai sebuah style trading yang bertujuan untuk memperoleh profit dari situasi market atau pasar dimana harga bergerak sideways. Range trading mengacu pada perbedaan antara harga tinggi dan rendah dalam periode trading tertentu.



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