Cara Analisa Menggunakan Teknik Moving Average

Trading adalah salah satu upaya untuk memperoleh profit tanpa menguras terlalu banyak energi dan waktu. Hal yang dibutuhkan adalah kemampuan membaca kondisi pasar, menganalisis tren, dan tentunya modal. Moving average hadir untuk membantu menganalisis pergerakan harga aset. Indikator ini kerap digunakan pemula hingga tingkat mahir di dunia trading. Karakteristiknya diibaratkan sebagai filter bagi fluktuasi harga jangka pendek yang bermunculan secara acak. Mengidentifikasi tren hanyalah satu dari beberapa kegunaan metode moving average. Praktiknya cukup sederhana, dengan skema perhitungan level mudah hingga rumit sekalipun.

Moving average adalah indikator yang paling sederhana diantara indkator teknikal lainnya, biasanya dihitung dari penjumlahan harga penutupan pada suatu periode tertentu dibagi dengan jumlah satuan waktu pada periode tersebut. Jik harga bergerak uptrend, kurva moving average akan bergerak ke atas, dan sebaliknya pada saat pergerakan harga downtrend, kurva moving average akan bergerak ke arah bawah. Hal yang perlu trader pahami adalah moving average termasuk dalam indikator repaint atau lagging indicator, sehingga terdapat kelemahan untuk memprediksi harga secara akurat.

Penggunaan moving average untuk memprediksi harga tidak dapat digunakan secara terpisah dengan indikator lainnya. Trader memerlukan alat bantu tambahan apabila menggunakan strategi moving average baik untuk memprediksi arah harga dan menggunakannya sebagai acuan entry level.

Cara Membaca Moving Average

Karena moving average adalah analisis teknikal yang standar, maka cara membacanya pun cukup mudah. Moving average yang menanjak mengindikasikan bahwa tren harga aset itu sedang meningkat. Biasanya, tren harga yang meningkat dikonfirmasi melalui bullish crossover, yakni kondisi yang terjadi saat moving average jangka pendek melintang di atas moving average dalam jangka pendek. Begitupun sebaliknya, moving average yang melandai merupakan sinyal bahwa nilai aset tersebut sedang melesu. Biasanya, tren menurun ini ditandai dengan bearish crossover, dimana moving average dalam jangka panjang melintang diatas moving average jangka pendek.




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